Note: I have discovered that some of my numbers in this post are in error. I will fix it as soon as I can. My apologies, Doug
Summary:
Summary:
The total economic productivity of the United States in 2015
was 18 trillion dollars. Of this total,
$7.7 trillion was paid to workers as wages.
The remaining 10.3 trillion accrued to owners of capital. Although Federal taxes are paid in several
forms, the total tax burden on wages is 25 percent, while Federal taxes paid on
capital returns is only 12.5 percent, half of the rate paid by wage-earners.
--
--
Wages and Return on Capital
Economic productivity can be divided into the contributions
of Labor and Capital. More accurately,
Labor and Capital, working together, both contribute to productivity. Labor requires Capital to be productive, and
Capital requires Labor to be productive.
But the benefits of productivity are divided – Labor and Capital are
allocated different shares in terms of earnings, and carry away different piles
of money. The shares allocated to Labor
and Capital are largely determined by actions of the free market, modified
somewhat by regulations such as the minimum wage law. But taxes on earnings of Labor and Capital
are entirely arbitrary, determined by the complex rules of the Federal tax law.
The United States produced about 18 trillion dollars of
income in 2015. The measure, Gross
Domestic Income (GDI), is roughly equivalent to Gross Domestic Product,
(GDP). Wages and salaries comprised 42.9
percent of GDI, or $7.7 trillion (source: Federal Reserve Database).
Capital returns represent the remainder, or about $10.3 trillion. It should be noted that capital returns do
not include unrealized capital gains.
Labor’s share of Gross Domestic Income has fallen from 51%
in 1970 to about 43% today.
Gross Domestic Income
($MM)
|
|
Wages
|
Capital
Return
|
7,758,250
|
10,326,250
|
Federal Taxes
Federal taxation is
complex. Wages are subject to individual
income taxes and payroll (social insurance) taxes. Wage earners also pay most excise
taxes, such as tobacco, alcohol, gasoline and health insurance taxes.
Capital Returns are taxed as corporate income taxes, and
taxed again as individual income taxes on dividends, interest, and capital
gains when returns are distributed.
Corporations also pay a share of payroll taxes equal to employee
contributions, and pay a
variety of Federal taxes and rents such as mineral royalties.
In 2015, the Federal Government collected 3.25 trillion
dollars in taxes, out of 18 trillion dollars in GDI, for a total Federal take
of 18 percent. Of those taxes, about 2 trillion dollars were paid out of wages and salaries, and 1.3 trillion dollars were paid out of capital returns.
Taxes on Wages and Salaries,
millions of dollars
Individual Income Taxes
|
1,325,860
|
Payroll (Social Insurance) Tax
|
532,629
|
Excise Taxes
|
98,279
|
Total
|
1,956,768
|
Taxes on Capital Returns,
millions of dollars
Corporate Income Tax
|
343,797
|
Corporate Payroll Tax
|
532,629
|
Capital Gains Tax
|
141,754
|
Dividends & Interest Tax
|
73,188
|
Other
|
201,751
|
Total
|
1,293,119
|
The Federal
Government taxes Capital Returns at 12.5 percent of earnings, on a 57 percent
share of GDI, collecting a total of 1.29 trillion dollars.
By contrast, the
Federal Government taxes Wages and Salaries at double the rate of Capital
Returns. The government taxes Wages and
Salaries at 25.2 percent of earnings, on a 43 percent share of GDI, collecting
a total of 1.96 trillion dollars.
Conclusion
Individual workers are receiving a smaller share of the
nation’s productivity than owners of capital.
Moreover, Wages and Salaries are taxed at double the rate of Capital
Returns. This disproportional taxation
doesn’t seem fair, or in the best interest of the economy. The distribution of earnings to working-class
households is more likely to see those dollars recycled into consumer demand than
dollars distributed as investment earnings.
In the interest of economic
fairness, economic efficiency, and the reduction of wealth inequality, it makes
sense to raise taxes on capital returns, and give tax relief to wage-earners.
Note: This study did
not include unrealized capital gains, which allow the owners of capital to
roll-over gains from year to year without paying tax. So, the effective tax rate paid on capital
returns is actually less than reported in this post. Taxes on unrealized gains are effectively never
paid if the underlying assets are never sold, unless taxed at death by the
estate tax. I have not yet figured out a
clear way to calculate (or efficiently tax) unrealized capital gains.
Calculations and Assumptions
Income (Federal Reserve Database)
Income attributed to Wages includes 42.9 % of Gross Domestic
Income,
Income attributed to Capital is GDI minus income
attributable to wages.
Taxes (Tax Policy Center and JustFacts.com)
Taxes attributed to
Wages include:
- All individual income taxes, minus 9.2 % for capital gains, and 4.75% for dividends and Interest.
- Employee payroll taxes (Social Security and Medicare)
- Federal excise taxes (alcohol, tobacco, fuel and health insurance).
Taxes attributed to
Capital Returns include:
- Business income taxes
- Corporate payroll taxes
- Individual capital gains taxes
- Individual dividends and interest taxes
- “Other” taxes, representing diverse sources such as mineral royalty payments
- The 2016 component percentages of individual taxes (wages, capital gains, dividends and interest) were assumed to apply to 2015 taxes.
- The percentage of taxes paid on capital gains was applied to dividends and interest.
- Federal Excise taxes were entirely allocated to Wages.
References:
Federal Tax Receipts by Source, 1934 – 2021 (forecast from
2016)
“* In 2015, 9.2% of federal individual income tax receipts
came from capital gain taxes.”
“* For 2016, the Joint Committee on Taxation projects that
6.2% of gross income earned by individuals will come from capital gains, 2.2%
from dividends, and 1.0% from interest income.”
Tables on Gross Domestic Income, and Wages and Salary share
of GDI.
Agreed, but Could higher taxes on capital cause capital to move to other markets?
ReplyDeleteThat is a very good question. It might depend on how the tax is placed. A corporate income tax would tend to make capital move. A higher tax on dividends and capital gains would not, because the citizens paying the tax are likely to remain in the country. The 2001 Bush tax cuts greatly reduced taxes on dividends and capital gains on the premise that these earnings were subject to double taxation -- once at the level of the company, and again for individuals. But rolling back those changes would probably not affect capital investments in the companies.
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