tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post8136813996097461088..comments2024-02-02T05:06:23.569-08:00Comments on Wonky Thoughts: Charting the 2014 Ebola Epidemic; March 11th UpdateDoug Robbinshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comBlogger14125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-5111656955564962862021-03-15T05:10:47.671-07:002021-03-15T05:10:47.671-07:00I Finally Got Helped !! I'm so excited right ...I Finally Got Helped !! I'm so excited right now, I just have to share my testimony on this Forum.. The feeling of being loved takes away so much burden from our shoulders. I had all this but I made a big mistake when I cheated on my wife with another woman and my wife left me for over 4 months after she found out.. I was lonely, sad and devastated. Luckily I was directed to a very powerful spell caster Dr Emu who helped me cast a spell of reconciliation on our Relationship and he brought back my wife and now she loves me far more than ever.. I'm so happy with life now. Thank you so much Dr Emu, kindly Contact Dr Emu Today and get any kind of help you want.. Via Email emutemple@gmail.com or Call/WhatsApp cell number +2347012841542Jason Bennetthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/16896927184869020575noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-66574714692420892702015-07-24T04:21:16.454-07:002015-07-24T04:21:16.454-07:00more,that is still you may do something to expand ...more,that is still you may do something to expand on it.yhanks for sharing with us.I think I am going the clearness in your post is simple spectacular and I can take for granted you are an expert on the field.Well with your permission.Like your way of seeing this things. i'll be checking in on a regularly now....keep up the good work.<br /><br /><a href="http://www.unisonbiomed.com/index.php?route=product/search&search=Toshiba%20PVT-375BT" rel="nofollow">Toshiba PVT-375BT</a><br />Anonymoushttps://www.blogger.com/profile/06289135694050967741noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-86852608027817861662015-03-11T22:25:25.412-07:002015-03-11T22:25:25.412-07:00Excuse me for the long delay! I just completed a...Excuse me for the long delay! I just completed a calculation of Ro for the history of the epidemic. It is included in my March 11 update to this post. Ro declined to 0.91 for several weeks. It is now growing very slightly, but is still below Ro = 1. <br />Ro never approached the level of 0.7 targeted by the World Health Organization.Doug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-39191034555529666882015-01-05T17:42:29.501-08:002015-01-05T17:42:29.501-08:00I was wondering what your current RO number may me...I was wondering what your current RO number may me. It appears that all three countries have a similar growth rate since adjustments in October. <br />ThanksAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-90258303555858041162014-11-19T23:42:24.776-08:002014-11-19T23:42:24.776-08:00I have a number of Excel spreadsheets, that I upda...I have a number of Excel spreadsheets, that I update when WHO publishes new information. I interpolate by country in order to obtain a common reporting date for my charts. I'm happy to share my spreadsheets if you need them. WHO is now also publishing data that might include their revisions of previous numbers. These might be more authoritative than my charts. I'll contact you; thanks for your comments!<br />regards--<br />DougDoug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-20864796043129706382014-11-19T06:25:22.275-08:002014-11-19T06:25:22.275-08:00Hi Doug,
Thank you for a fantastic site and fanta...Hi Doug,<br /><br />Thank you for a fantastic site and fantastic posts. I am a risk manager leading a team of freelancers here in London, UK pushing the UK government to lead in Europe to deal with the situation in Sierra Leone (the British Army is doing a lot, but more needs to be done). Our website is stopebola.uk<br />We are employing a professional designer to create an inforgraphic about what is necessary to bring down R0 in Sierra Leone and stop a catastrophe.<br /><br />It would be great to be in touch with you. My email is sjstretton@gmail.com. In particular, do you have a dataset that I can send to the designer?<br />(About me: I work in finance and I am funding -with others- and directing our campaign, although not day-to-day in charge. I'm the quantitative one in our team, but rather short of time because of my day job.)<br /><br />Thanks again for great posts.<br /><br />Regards<br />Stephen <br /><br />Stephen Strettonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02276800274947292226noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-56496857272764215612014-11-19T00:17:23.466-08:002014-11-19T00:17:23.466-08:00Those look like interesting sites! Thanks for the...Those look like interesting sites! Thanks for the reference; I hadn't seen them before. I'll spend some time looking at them.<br />I'm getting most of my information from the World Health Organization situation reports. The most recent update can be found here: <br /> http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/en/<br /><br />The archive of situation reports to late August is found here:<br />http://www.who.int/csr/disease/ebola/situation-reports/archive/en/<br />These are updates to the WHO Ebola response roadmap.<br /><br />Earlier reports are found here:<br />http://www.who.int/csr/don/archive/disease/ebola/en/<br /><br />I've also relied on various news reports, and the CDC Ebola webpage.<br />http://www.cdc.gov/vhf/Ebola/outbreaks/2014-west-africa/index.html<br /><br />Doctors Without Borders also has periodic briefings over the internet.<br /><br />Regards--<br />Doug Doug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-57008785334449814022014-11-17T16:29:10.057-08:002014-11-17T16:29:10.057-08:00I follow EBOLA INTERNATIONAL SOS and GLOBAL INCIDE...I follow EBOLA INTERNATIONAL SOS and GLOBAL INCIDENT MAP for my information. What sites do you review?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-79916590002221304832014-11-14T12:23:16.426-08:002014-11-14T12:23:16.426-08:00Thanks for your attention to my articles! We'...Thanks for your attention to my articles! We're in agreement. I'm afraid of transmission into rural and poorly monitored areas where the epidemic might grow undetected. The epidemic may have passed into a stage where the information is incomplete and inaccurate. Authorities may become overconfident, because of success in some places, while the disease spreads unchecked in other places.<br />Your comment about hospitals' reluctance to test possible Ebola cases is truly horrifying. It is exactly this sort of denial that puts all of us at greater risk. Thanks for commenting. <br />Regards-- DougDoug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-86589937473055518212014-11-14T12:08:09.187-08:002014-11-14T12:08:09.187-08:00Thanks for your attention! Yes, I will write, an...Thanks for your attention! Yes, I will write, and I would be interesting in learning about your project. Regards, DougDoug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-57861714197060652432014-11-14T10:32:37.335-08:002014-11-14T10:32:37.335-08:00I have been following your data since August. I t...I have been following your data since August. I think you are spot-on. The recent "down trend" from the predicted numbers is because of poor data gathering in Liberia and Guinea. The rural locations of these countries prevents accurate numbers. <br />On another interesting note…I have heard of hospitals NOT testing possible cases for fear of driving away customers (lesson learned from Dallas Hospital). I spoke with a critical care physician that has taken care of patients that he wanted tested, but the hospital refused to allow it.<br />Just something to think about….<br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-66400590760833783562014-11-14T00:51:59.009-08:002014-11-14T00:51:59.009-08:00Hi Doug,
Thank you for your detailed analysis. I...Hi Doug, <br /><br />Thank you for your detailed analysis. I have read all your updated articles so far and your predictions are very impressive. I am also working on a similar project to predict mortality rates in Africa and would love to have a discussion with you. My email id is: katatonia121@gmail.com.<br /><br />Hope to hear from you.Kaustubhnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-49449947796073203092014-11-13T14:36:55.489-08:002014-11-13T14:36:55.489-08:00You are welcome!You are welcome!Doug Robbinshttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898643432335324941noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8486739823102464023.post-17256647036693267732014-11-08T13:33:31.214-08:002014-11-08T13:33:31.214-08:00Thank you for your updates!Thank you for your updates!Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com